Comments on: Is There a Baby Bounce? http://www.stubbornmule.net/2009/09/baby-bounce/ Obstinately objective Sat, 13 Mar 2010 00:43:30 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Fertility Declines Don’t Reverse with Development | A Stubborn Mule's Perspective http://www.stubbornmule.net/2009/09/baby-bounce/comment-page-1/#comment-4135 Fertility Declines Don’t Reverse with Development | A Stubborn Mule's Perspective Thu, 24 Sep 2009 12:28:55 +0000 http://www.stubbornmule.net/?p=2059#comment-4135 [...] in The New York Times, The Washington Post and The Economist, amongst others, was the subject of my recent Stubborn Mule guest post.  In that post, I shared an animated chart and some statistical arguments that cast doubt on the [...] [...] in The New York Times, The Washington Post and The Economist, amongst others, was the subject of my recent Stubborn Mule guest post.  In that post, I shared an animated chart and some statistical arguments that cast doubt on the [...]

]]> By: mark http://www.stubbornmule.net/2009/09/baby-bounce/comment-page-1/#comment-4023 mark Sun, 06 Sep 2009 20:53:36 +0000 http://www.stubbornmule.net/?p=2059#comment-4023 The paper was also featured by the New York Times http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/08/06/fertility-rise-for-richest-boon-or-trouble/ The paper was also featured by the New York Times http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/08/06/fertility-rise-for-richest-boon-or-trouble/

]]> By: mark http://www.stubbornmule.net/2009/09/baby-bounce/comment-page-1/#comment-4022 mark Sun, 06 Sep 2009 20:19:29 +0000 http://www.stubbornmule.net/?p=2059#comment-4022 @stubbornmule As far as religion goes, we know from http://moses.creighton.edu/JRS/2009/2009-17.html that religiosity (as measured by frequency of prayer) has a firm negative correlation (-0.57) with GDP, which is also reasonably well correlated with HDI (+0.61 from the data set). From the data set, HDI is strongly negatively correlated with TFR (-0.88), so all these variables are related. But your point is that religiosity may explain some of the additional variance in TFR above that from HDI, and I agree that it is worth investigating. I'm in the process of getting some religiosity data, and I will do at least some of this. @stubbornmule As far as religion goes, we know from http://moses.creighton.edu/JRS/2009/2009-17.html that religiosity (as measured by frequency of prayer) has a firm negative correlation (-0.57) with GDP, which is also reasonably well correlated with HDI (+0.61 from the data set). From the data set, HDI is strongly negatively correlated with TFR (-0.88), so all these variables are related. But your point is that religiosity may explain some of the additional variance in TFR above that from HDI, and I agree that it is worth investigating. I’m in the process of getting some religiosity data, and I will do at least some of this.

]]> By: stubbornmule http://www.stubbornmule.net/2009/09/baby-bounce/comment-page-1/#comment-4011 stubbornmule Fri, 04 Sep 2009 22:53:22 +0000 http://www.stubbornmule.net/?p=2059#comment-4011 I saw the article in The Economist and didn't think to question the analysis. I didn't even notice the logarithmic scales on the chart. Interesting that the US is the only developed country to show strong fertility growth. I can't help noting that the US also stands out among other highly developed countries for its very high rate of religious observance. I wonder if the two phenomena are related. I saw the article in The Economist and didn’t think to question the analysis. I didn’t even notice the logarithmic scales on the chart.

Interesting that the US is the only developed country to show strong fertility growth. I can’t help noting that the US also stands out among other highly developed countries for its very high rate of religious observance. I wonder if the two phenomena are related.

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