Visualizing the Hottest 100

by Stubborn Mule on 12 July 2009

Today radio station Triple J finished broadcasting their Hottest 100 tracks of all time, the first all-time vote since 1998. For those outside Australia and not familiar with the tradition of the Hottest 100, it began back in 1989 and results are determined by listener votes. After two more years the format changed and votes were restricted to tracks released over the previous year, presumably because the top 10 became a list of the usual suspects. Since then 1998 and this year have been the only all-time hottest votes. A traditional favourite, Love Will Tear Us Apart by Joy Division, which was #1 in two of the first three all-time charts only made it to #4 this year, but Nirvana’s Smells Like Teen Spirit was #1 in the third and again in 1989 1998 and this year it made it to #1 for a third time.

Thanks to the wonderful collaborative spirit of Web 2.0, this year’s full list is already up on Wikipedia, complete with the year of release of each track. This allows me to indulge in my data mining hobby, which is why I am posting here rather than over on the The Music Blogs. So, inspired by a suggestion from Mark Lauer, a regular Mule reader (and careful sub-editor), here is a look at the distribution of the hottest 100 tracks by year of release.

chart

Hottest 100 Track Ranking by Year of Release

While the density certainly increases after about 1995, reflecting a lot of new entrants since the early charts, there is no clear trend along the 45 degree line (and, for the technically-minded, the R2 is about 0.1%). So, while there are not as many oldies in the chart, those oldies that do make it in are just as likely to rank well as the newer entrants. To make the most of the R code I wrote to produce this chart, here is the same thing showing artist name rather than track name.

artists

Hottest 100 Artist Ranking by Year of Release

To get a better sense of the distribution of rank and year, here is a chart that just shows the location of the tracks by year and rank.

points

Hottest 100 Rank versus Year of Release

Seeing the data just as points like this shows a concentration of tracks released around the mid-90s. A histogram of the year of release confirms this.

hist

Of course, I’m sure this says more about the demographics of voters than the preponderance of true classics in the 90s.

UPDATE: In this tweet, @nicwalmsley suggested an artist scoring system: 100 points for ranking 1st, 1 point for ranking 100th. As he notes, this system puts Radiohead, Jeff Buckley and Nirvana in 1st, 2nd and 3rd place respectively. Here are the top 10 artists by this measure.

Radiohead 343
Jeff Buckley 269
Nirvana 188
Powderfinger 154
Metallica 152
The Beatles 149
The Smashing Pumpkins 139
Pearl Jam 138
Michael Jackson 135
Pink Floyd 13

FURTHER UPDATE: @Warlach has laboured hard to assemble the full Hottest 100 as a blip.fm playlist.

YET ANOTHER UPDATE: In case you are wondering about the geographic mix, as expected the list is dominated by the US and the UK.

USA 45
UK 37
Australia 15
France 2
Jamaica 1

The pedants should note that I’ve counted System of a Down in the USA (rather than USA/Armenia) and Crowded House as Australia (rather than Australia/New Zealand). I hope that doesn’t offend our Kiwi cousins!

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{ 34 comments… read them below or add one }

1 _Soliloquy_ 12 July 2009 at 9:59 pm

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“Teen Spirit” could not have won in 1989 as it was not released until 1991.

2 stubbornmule 12 July 2009 at 10:03 pm

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Good pick-up! Fat fingers strike. I’ve corrected it to 1998. It won in 1991 and then again in 1998 and now in 2009.

3 Tim 13 July 2009 at 1:01 am

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Interesting. I wonder about the demographics though. I don't know what TripleJ's audience is these days, but I believe typically it's under 30. I, for one, being 33, don't listen to TripleJ any more, and didn't hear about the Hottest 100 until after voting had closed. And I would imagine that under-30s would have voted more 2000s songs purely because of familiarity. Under-30s are also tech savvy, so there's no reason for them not to vote. So, I wonder if the list says more about music trends instead. Some speculations that feed that notion: First, the top tracks tend to be emotive rather than fun or just catchy. Second, times when there's a strong counter-culture seem to generate more hits - perhaps because it feeds in to the first point. Third, the late 70s-early 80s has a... ...

4 stubbornmule 13 July 2009 at 7:08 am

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Tim: some excellent points there! Like you, I didn’t hear about it until it was too late to vote. I used to be a constant listener to the house of the Js, but that was many years ago now. There is probably one other factor at work for the 200s and that is insufficient time passing. My guess is that to earn a vote as a classic, tracks would usually have some form of nostalgia value (a reminder of major milestones in life, younger days, emotional events, etc) and tracks for the 2000s have not yet had time to accrue that nostalgia value. In 10 years time we might see a higher representation in the hottest 100!

8 stubbornmule 13 July 2009 at 1:35 pm

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@Warlach has laboured hard to assemble the full Hottest 100 as a blip.fm playlist.

9 Georgina 13 July 2009 at 2:24 pm

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I’m another former JJJ listener who no longer listens. But I did vote. And I’m pleased that most of my top 10 made it to the list (except for Deep Purple’s Smoke on the Water … darn).

Really enjoyed this post! And don’t you think the Coefficient of Determination would make a great name for a band?

10 stubbornmule 13 July 2009 at 2:34 pm

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This post has made it into Crikey’s “Graph Pr0n section. Their summary:

There’s been a bit of discussion about the age of the songs making it to Triple J’s Hottest 100 tracks of all time. Stubborn Mule charts the data — and shows the oldies rate just as well, even if they are outnumbered.

Couldn’t have said it better myself!

11 stubbornmule 13 July 2009 at 2:35 pm

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@Georgina: Coefficient of Determination is such a good name, I should pick up my sax again!

13 geojojo 14 July 2009 at 1:54 pm

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..so this is what you do whilst we are in the yoga waiting room!! i quite fancy your histograms. is there something you could plot in regards to the number of members in a group and their rankings on the poll?

14 stubbornmule 14 July 2009 at 3:45 pm

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In the yoga waiting room it’s all about aligning my chakra not my histograms!

As to your idea of numbers in the group, maybe the score should be divided by the number in the band…that would put Jeff Buckley on top. The only problem this idea poses for me is that I’d have to work out the number in all 100 myself as it’s not listed on the Wikipedia page!

15 geojojo 14 July 2009 at 3:53 pm

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that’s not too hard a task.

16 stubbornmule 14 July 2009 at 4:10 pm

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Are you volunteering?

17 Mark L 14 July 2009 at 11:56 pm

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Dividing by number of band members would put Michael Jackson at No. 2

19 geojojo 16 July 2009 at 10:04 am

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so are four piece bands the most successful in the poll?

20 stubbornmule 16 July 2009 at 11:24 am

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@geojojo: I am still gradually compiling the band size (althouh some are tricky, like Hunters & Collectors with a continously changing line-up). In the meantime, I have added a count by country to the post.

21 geojojo 16 July 2009 at 11:32 am

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good addition. it’s very single white guy isn’t it?

22 Rob 19 July 2009 at 1:47 pm

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"Seeing the data just as points like this shows a concentration of tracks released around the mid-90s. A histogram of the year of release confirms this. Of course, I’m sure this says more about the demographics of voters than the preponderance of true classics in the 90s." I disagree. I suggest you compare the concentration of songs in this year's countdown to that of the 1998 countdown. This year, by my reckoning there were 12 songs from 1997, 9 from 1994 and 7 from 1991. Compare this to what happened in 1998 - 15 songs from 1997, 13 from 1994 and 7 from 1991. According to the demographic logic, either one of these two things would have happened: (a) there would have been a lot more songs from the 2000's in this year's countdown (i.e. songs that are pretty recent) OR (b) there would ... ...

23 stubbornmule 19 July 2009 at 8:46 pm

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Rob, you make an interesting point about 1997 rating so well in the list. I make the top years as follows: 1997: 11 (of which 2 are Radiohead) 1994: 9 (of which 4 are Jeff Buckley) 1991: 7 (of which 3 are Nirvana) 1995: 5 (of which 1 is Radiohead) 2000: 5 So, once you count for the high ranking acts, 1997 is a standout winner. But, the best single year of music ever? Now that's a big call. According to Radio 2 listeners in the UK it was 1967. Being a bit older than you, I'd probably pick a year in the late 70s or early 80s. But, I'd have to agree that there's certainly something to explain there about 1997. For those wishing to reflect on that question, here is the list, complete with Hottest 100 rank: 5. Paranoid Android, Radiohead 9 . Everlong, Foo Fighters 14. Bittersweet Symphony... ...

24 lollerkeet 20 July 2009 at 9:45 pm

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Of course, I’m sure this says more about the demographics of voters than the preponderance of true classics in the 90s.

I’m not so sure. The early to mid nineties were a *fantastic* time for music, not just in Australia but across the Anglophone world. Genres began to arrive and collapse at a rate of months. Both dance and rock music had nearly been defined (if you don’t believe me, think how rarely anything since has sounded ‘new’), and then OK Computer was released… it felt for a time like the last word in modern music. There have been masterpieces since, of course, but not nearly so many at once. I will feel lucky if I live to hear another such explosion of creativity in music.

This comment was originally posted on Reddit

25 miiiik 21 July 2009 at 3:01 am

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The Who didn’t make a single top 100?

This comment was originally posted on Reddit

26 seancarmody 21 July 2009 at 6:10 am

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lollerkeet: Maybe I should add: "that comment shows more about my demographics than the preponderance of true classics in the 90s".

This comment was originally posted on Reddit

27 oztrance 22 July 2009 at 2:21 pm

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How many of the older tracks are popular because they feature in modern movies or covers? Tiny dancer for example. Even when I was a kid, and even though Triple J has always been pretty okay as far as radio goes – who the fuck WANTS to have audio material jammed down their throat? I just don’t get radio.

This comment was originally posted on Reddit

28 seancarmody 22 July 2009 at 7:21 pm

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You’ve got a good point about the use of these tracks in movies. I heard someone from Triple J (yes, I was listening to the radio, but it was on 702) saying pretty much the same thing. It serves to reinforce tracks as part of a cultural heritage for many people.

This comment was originally posted on Reddit

29 stubbornmule 24 July 2009 at 10:32 pm

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For a different sort of demographic, I’ve analysed the Guardian’s 1000 songs to hear before you die.

31 Carlos Ortega 20 August 2009 at 12:30 pm

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Hello,

I’d like to know if you could post the code you used at R to program the graphics in this post, because I need a graph like the one you did with the names of the songs but I don’t know how to do it.

Thanks so much

32 stubbornmule 20 August 2009 at 12:37 pm

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Carlos: I have been meaning to add this code to my github repository. I will do it as soon as possible.

33 stubbornmule 20 August 2009 at 7:11 pm

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The code for the charts is now in github.

34 nabha 14 November 2009 at 9:46 pm

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i hate nirvana
i want to die

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